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June 30, 2008

Hasta La Vista, Windows XP

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OK, I'm probably not the first person to think of that headline, but what the heck. Today, we're mourning the passing--sort of--of an old friend here, and I think it's OK to be informal given the egregious amount of time he hung around in the first place. I won't bore you with the specifics of the rest of XP's life cycle: I spelled that out earlier in "Microsoft Will Not Extend XP Lifecycle Again: Here's What's Really Happening" (http://tinyurl.com/3oucfg). Instead, I'd like to just take a few moments to look back on the somewhat inglorious early history of Windows XP, which should make for an interesting comparison with Vista's first year. Because for some reason, with XP, a lot of people seem to have the one-sided memory that often accompanies a passing. It wasn't all ice cream and pie, people.

First of all, Microsoft has sold several hundred million copies of Windows XP, and the OS is undoubtedly the best-selling Windows version ever. But it was that successful only because the product was artificially kept on the market longer than necessary. If XP had been replaced in 2004, as it should have been, it would have gone down in history as one of the most forgettable releases of the product ever. Instead, Microsoft kept XP alive by giving that 2004 release away for free, calling it Windows XP Service Pack 2 (SP2).

Before that, XP launched with a whimper in October 2001--I noted that the disappointing "midnight madness" events Microsoft organized were "neither midnight nor madness" in a Short Takes article from that month, and they took place after a "boring and long" launch event. Even Microsoft group vice president Jim Allchin was sanguine about XP during the launch, noting, "It's only a product." Gateway CEO Ted Waite revealed on stage during the launch that XP would have no effect on his company's sales at all.
http://tinyurl.com/576tol

Just after the XP launch, Microsoft settled its antitrust case with the US government. As I wrote at the time, "I think the settlement fails miserably [at] punishing Microsoft for its illegal activities and preventing it from continuing such activities in the future." What it did do, of course, was change the way Microsoft bundles products with its OSes. And you can thank/blame the rise of Windows Live applications on this change.
http://tinyurl.com/5pyut2

With XP complete, Microsoft turned its attention to XP SP1, unlike with Vista, where they pretended there wasn't an SP1. And Allchin revealed that the next Windows version, codenamed Longhorn, would hit beta in 2002 and ship in 2003. That worked out wonderfully, as you may recall. Note that after Vista shipped, Microsoft refused to discuss the next version of Windows (Windows 7). Clearly, the company's XP experiences guided this change of strategy.
http://tinyurl.com/5dpx2f

XP was barely out the door before the OS's first major security vulnerability hit, a serious UPnP flaw that left XP owners open to electronic attack. Microsoft responded to this threat by asking Web sites to stop popularizing security breaches in its products. Yes, seriously.
http://tinyurl.com/6aywgr

In December 2001, Allchin said that XP sales were "on track," and the company was "very happy." However, analysts and retailers were reporting that XP wasn't selling as quickly as had previous, consumer-oriented Windows 9x versions. And retail sales of XP were still lagging those of Windows 98 at the time.
http://tinyurl.com/6bsndb

With 2001 ending, pundits seized the opportunity to jump all over XP in a manner that would later be repeated with Vista. There are two differences, however. More people are online now, so Vista looks worse by comparison. And XP's issues were actually quite serious, unlike those that users faced with Vista over the past year. I'll take a missing printer driver over systemic OS flaws any day. Call me crazy.
http://tinyurl.com/6esl5z

By the end of December, panic had set in. XP retail sales plummeted from 400,000 copies in October 2001 to just 250,000 in November 2001. Windows 98, meanwhile, had sold 580,000 copies in its first month on the market and 350,000 in its second. Microsoft chairman Bill Gates announced at CES 2002 in January that XP sales were "double" those of the previous version, using licenses sold by PC makers as the barometer for that statement.
http://tinyurl.com/6gavuv

Speaking of CES, Microsoft also revealed a software project there called Freestyle. This would go on to become Windows XP Media Center Edition, which entered the market in late 2002. Microsoft eventually shipped four different XP Media Center versions over the years, as well as two XP Tablet PC versions. But as Apple has so frequently reminded us, the Cupertino company shipped three versions of Mac OS X between XP's release in 2001 and Vista's release in 2006, while Microsoft never upgraded Windows. Curious.
http://tinyurl.com/5ml5x7

By January, XP's security problems were so bad that Bill Gates wrote a memo called Trustworthy computing, a concept he described as the company's highest priority. "There are many changes Microsoft needs to make as a company to ensure and keep our customers' trust at every level - from the way we develop software, to our support efforts, to our operational and business practices. As software has become ever more complex, interdependent and interconnected, our reputation as a company has in turn become more vulnerable. Flaws in a single Microsoft product, service or policy not only affect the quality of our platform and services overall, but also our customers' view of us as a company."
http://tinyurl.com/69m7jt

What Gates was really saying was that Microsoft would begin promoting security over new features in its products. This switchover was years-long in the making, and the company eventually halted Windows Vista ("Longhorn") development for nine months so that it could go back and perform a full security review of XP.
http://tinyurl.com/5aag7c

And with that, we're just three months into XP's existence. Good times, good times.

By the way, Microsoft's Trustworthy Computing work eventually resulted in Windows XP SP2, which was given away free to customers in late 2004. XP SP2 was the first major software product revised during the Trustworthy Computing era and Vista, released in late 2006, was the first completely new Trustworthy Computing product. Note that the time delta between XP and XP2 was actually longer than the delta between XP SP2 and Vista. Just a thought for the next time you want to talk about product development time.

As for the Vista complaints of today, we might reflect for a moment on our short memories and remember that Windows XP, in just its first few months on the market, suffered from more problems that Vista has had in its entire lifetime so far. As with any major Windows release, Vista came with its share of compatibility and performance issues when compared to its predecessor (though those are almost completely resolved by now, of course). That's nothing new. But as XP heads off into a distant sunset, I prefer to be honest about that product. Yes, it was the best that Microsoft could do at the time and a big technical advance over the 9x versions of Windows. But Vista is the superior product, and that's especially true when you compare both XP and Vista with regards to the times in which they were respectively released.

Hasta la Vista, Windows XP.

End of Article



Reader Comments
I have to say with all honesty, your last paragraph, and in particular this statement:" But Vista is the superior product", is just a load of bananas! XP - yeah still around - and yes SP3 has issues - but lets be honest - Windows Vista - it's a pig - and why are company after company reverting back to Windows XP?

Instead of Hasta la Vista Windows XP - the epitaph for Vista should simply be - Vista - Wot a joke!

Interesting yet again, at another Microsoft roadshow, VIsta was not mentioned again, but surprise surprise Windows XP had a number of speakers espousing the virtues of this aging product!

I rest my case!

ashers2008 June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


Right on, Paul. I worked the front lines at Circuit City for two years, Vista hitting in the middle of my stint. The Blogosphere and the Media have woven an intricate fallacy all around Vista. It's a PR nightmare that is so embedded into the common layman at this point I'm not sure what can ever be done to rectify the situation.

It's more of the same. A few bugs, more resource heavy, new features, more secure. Windows 7 will be going through the same cycle in a few years, too.

Short memories, sir. You are correct.

Digitarius June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


"but lets be honest - Windows Vista - it's a pig"

Perhaps for the common person who installs and forgets it, but alas if you disable the features and uninstall the optional components that make Vista, Vista, the memory footprint and CPU utilization is about the same as XP.

I haven't seen a technical explanation of why there is anything legitimately wrong with Vista. Architecturally it's sound.

The only thing *heavy* about Vista is the UI... And namely that hardware manufacturers took the cheap route and provided inadequate video controllers for the UI.

Also, memory is something like $30/GB now, so providing at least 2GB to make Vista happy (with all default features turned on) should really be a non-issue. Put another way... In 2001 dollars, the amount of money someone needed to spend on DRAM for XP is much more than 2008 dollars for DRAM on Vista. You can drop $60 on memory and have a sufficient amount of resources. In 2001 you probably needed to spend something closer to $250 -- sure the OS was lighter weight, but the absolute dollars spent was much higher.

The sole-reason for a negative Vista impression is commoditizing PCs at $399 each (having the minimum requirements of the *prior* generation), and having hardware vendors do everything possible to avoid advanced features at that price-point. The Apple crowd has avoided this impression because there is no such thing as a cheap Mac (and thus are somewhat future proof for a number of years). As a result, their inane commercials are off-point because they don't do a dollar-to-dollar comparison.

In order to fix this for future generations, MSFT needs to not allow the logo that barely meet the minimums of a current generation.

Christopher June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


Christopher, my my you are full of it! The comment and I quote: "Perhaps for the common person who installs and forgets it...:. The common person - interesting choice of words - just to put the record straight - I am far from common, and regarding Vista, MS Consultants from MS Arabia, even told me "Vista isn't that good - it does have major problems". So you see - even their own employees have given up on it!

I am also summising you are American - you seem to have an over inflated ego!

ashers2008 June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


I have to say, your last comment, "Vista is the superior product", is totally on mark. I have used Windows products for years, and Vista is far better all around.

I also agree with Christopher, "I haven't seen a technical explanation of why there is anything legitimately wrong with Vista. Architecturally it's sound."

I haven't seen a single technical review demonstrating Vista's inferiority. On the contrary, I have read up on all the security improvements and they are significant. The Kernel is outstanding. I love the security and stability. Vista is nearly impossible to blue screen out. Well, I know a secret on how to do it quickly but won't share!

My main complaint with SP1 32bit, is how Microsoft choose to handle the "lost RAM" issue resulting from installation of the full four gigs, instead of simply giving the real information. I understand the masses struggle understanding this issue, but to give a lie in response just isn't "trustworthy" in my opinion.

This is a minor complaint, and I am very pleased with Vista. Finally, a secure platform. I suppose my femaleness is showing when I say I like the UI. Just install the needed RAM and we are good to go!

Seree June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


Ok, you want a techincal explanation, I'll give you one. In fact, I'll bundle in a fiscal explanation as a bonus.

Many of my clients are small business customers. When I say small business, I'm talking about people with one to three computers. They are acupuncture clinics, chiropractor, termite and pest control, and small one doctor practices. These companies have all they can do to put gas in their car and keep their doors open.

Ok, now for the technical part...

With every previous release of the Microsoft OS, installing on older hardware was possible with some rare exceptions. The small business owner who upgraded his laptop and wants to give his 6 year old his old computer could easily have the system rebuilt for the cost of the operating system and the labor to install.

Setting all the hardware compatibility issues, security settings, and administrative concerns aside, upgrading hardware isn't a choice with Vista, it's a requirement!!

I'm running out of characters, but you all know what I'm talking about. You MUST HAVE at least 2GB of Ram (to be realistic about running Vista) and you MUST HAVE a decent video card, at least 128MB.

Not only is the base OS about $100 more expensive than the release price of many of the older OSes, but today, one must really empty their pocket book and buy a brand new system with a high end graphics device, extra RAM and DVD ROM just so your six year old can play "blues clues."

All these reviews are focused so much on the software and the drivers. Let's not forget the little business owners who can't afford the cost of the new hardware that you've just got to have to run vista.

mtnntwks June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


"you MUST HAVE a decent video card, at least 128MB."

sorry, but you're wrong. you need a 128MB video card for Aero. you don't need Aero, and many small business customers couldn't care less about it, for the most part. Intel onboard video from the last 4 years supports Aero - 945 chipset (GMA 950) or higher.

"Not only is the base OS about $100 more expensive than the release price of many of the older OSes"

WTF are YOU smokin? too much opium or something?

obviously you don't get the point that NUMEROUS people have said: get Vista with a new computer. getting OEM software with a new system is BY FAR the cheapest way to buy software (unless you're a charity or educational institution, which is even less). upgrading costs more. that said, if you have a volume license agreement, you can get it much cheaper than retail upgrades (and there are extra optional benefits, such as Software Assurance).

so you can continue attempting to sell upgrades to people with Windows ME computers, or maybe try to create another revenue stream: new systems. just a thought....

XP

Waethorn June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


Waethorn:
So you must be a systems administrator for a truck stop or a drug cartel? I'm not into drugs. Usually such confrontive dialogue is reserved for those who know and respect me well...and even then it is done with humor.

I'm not "selling" rather, I'm "accomodating." My clients have heard the same arguments you present about purchasing a system with vista and other software preinstalled. They are resistant to the idea, don't have the money to invest, and aren't interested in listening to their systems administrator don their "salesmen" hat to try to convince them otherwise. Their argument is simply, "why am I being forced to by a new system, when I can't make any good use of my old system like I could before?"

mtnntwks June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


"With every previous release of the Microsoft OS, installing on older hardware was possible with some rare exceptions."

That's because OS releases used to be at most 2 years apart. XP to Vista went almost 6 years... That would have been 3 incremental upgrades on the old timetable.

If buying a new machine, get Vista. If you have an old XP machine, why upgrade? There are compelling feature reasons, but one shouldn't assume that 6 years of evolution isn't going to incur a significant penalty on the hardware requirements.

In 2008 dollars, you can get a fine Vista machine for much less than an XP machine in 2001. However an XP machine purchased in 2001, 2003, or an entry level one purchased in 2005 shouldn't necessarily run Vista (unless you upgrade the DRAM to 2GB). You would get stuck with the basic UI, but the OS is still an improvement over XP and includes better security, integrated search, etc.

The only "architectural" reason I could see for not upgrading would be extremely poor enterprise apps that can't run on Vista. In which case, I'd still migrate to Vista and remote those applications with something like a Citrix farm. A company shouldn't compromise an entire network for the sake of supporting a poorly written legacy app. And by upgrade, attrition of old hardware is also a valid method.

As already said, Vista is getting a bad name due to commoditized PCs churned out in a market-share price-war. I know perfectly well that someone is going to pull out the, "But I own a supercomputer and it didn't work!" excuse. That would be a rare "sucks to be you" incident (due to some reason like a driver writer vanished or the underlying OS was so corrupt it really needs a clean install).

Also, don't get me stated about third parties... The number of hardware firms making an excuse by not supporting "legacy" products is insane. This isn't MSFT's problem, but rather companies who view the OS upgrade cycle like a giant ATM.

Christopher June 30, 2008 (Article Rating: )


I'm still feeling the XP Pro love because there's just no compelling need for me to buy a new system for Vista's supposed "benefits". Seriously, I think it speaks volumes to how good XP really is.

You may pick yourself up off the floor, "Waethorn", now that I said something nice about Microsoft. Again.

lotsamystuff July 01, 2008 (Article Rating: )


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